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Книга ISBN13 9780141034591 - The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) в магазинах, библиотеках и электронных библиотеках с он-лайн чтением

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Название: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is...
Авторы: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Издательство: Penguin Group
Год: 2008
Местонахождение: My-shop.ru
ISBN: 978-0-14-103459-1
Название: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
In the wake of 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, the quagmire in Iraq, and other apparently unexpected disasters, it seems reasonable to wonder about our stunted powers of prediction. Couldn't we have foreseen these debacles and others and taken steps to avoid them? Informed skeptic and former Wall Street trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb very much doubts it, and in this arresting meditation on our wrongheaded beliefs about what is and isn't likely - he draws his title from the illogical assumption that all swans are white - he explores how and why we're wired to get the future wrong. You may be put off by Taleb's discursiveness and, ironically, his smug certainty about our incurable "epistemic arrogance"; but in the face of his deeply considered arguments, it's hard not to agree that where human events are concerned our track record in forecasting (whether it's next year's recession or the next century's geopolitical fault lines) amounts to an aimless shot in the dark.
Авторы: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd.
Год: 2008
Местонахождение: OZON.ru
ISBN: 978-0-1410-3459-1
Название: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why are almost all forecasters con-artists? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're nearly impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the "experts", "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty. Формат: 13 см x 19,5 см.
Авторы: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd.
Год: 2007
Местонахождение: OZON.ru
ISBN: 978-0-1410-3459-1
Название: The Black Swan. The Impact of Highly Improbable
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
Авторы: Taleb Nassim Nicholas
Издательство: Penguin
Год: 2015
Местонахождение: Лабиринт
ISBN: 9780141034591
Название: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
In the wake of 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, the quagmire in Iraq, and other apparently unexpected disasters, it seems reasonable to wonder about our stunted powers of prediction. Couldn't we have foreseen these debacles and others and taken steps to avoid them? Informed skeptic and former Wall Street trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb very much doubts it, and in this arresting meditation on our wrongheaded beliefs about what is and isn't likely - he draws his title from the illogical assumption that all swans are white - he explores how and why we're wired to get the future wrong. You may be put off by Taleb's discursiveness and, ironically, his smug certainty about our incurable "epistemic arrogance"; but in the face of his deeply considered arguments, it's hard not to agree that where human events are concerned our track record in forecasting (whether it's next year's recession or the next century's geopolitical fault lines) amounts to an aimless shot in the dark.
Авторы: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd.
Год: 2010
Местонахождение: OZON.ru
ISBN: 978-0-1410-3459-1


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10 января 2015 года: Запуск базы ISBN10 и ISBN13

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